Olam International: 21 Nov 2012

The 3 major commodity traders have grabbed our attention recently.

  1. Sept: Wilmar Intl gains momentum, showed signs that it might be ready to break its stagnant trend ($3.08-$3.25).
  2. Nov: Noble Group Vice-Chairman Banga sold off 225m shares, causing the share price to fall 8.2 percent ($1.07).
  3. Nov: Olam Intl share price falls by approx 10% in a day after accusations by Muddy Waters, questioning their accounting practices.

OLAM Intl

Muddy Waters:

  • Unable to reconcile Olam’s capex with announced projects
  • Olam has been very active in the public market
  • $4.125b outstanding debt

Some facts:

  • Olam is the most borrowed stock among Singapore’s top 30 companies, suggesting heavy demand from short sellers
  • Nearly 80 percent of Olam’s shares that can be borrowed are out on loan

-credit: http://business.asiaone.com/A1Business/News/Story/A1Story20121121-384781.html

Here’s a quick estimate of where the share price/support/resistance would be headed. We expect the downward trend to continue below the 1.60 resistance level, finding support at 1.300-1.400, where we believe that there would be a rebound before diving downwards again.

No matter, OLAM (O32.SI) is one to watch.

-EquityWatch | Buy SILVER BULLION here at EW Silver
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